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Thursday, February 28, 2019

Capital Asset Pricing Model Essay

The capital asset pricing manakin (CAPM) is an st rungic model in finance theory. CAPM is a theory or model use to calculate the seek and evaluate cave in direct of an investiture portfolio (normally refer to stocks or shares). All stocks have 2 risks Systematic adventure ( also called Market Risk which affect every stocks) and Unsystematic Risk (also called precise or Unique Risk that only affects individual stocks). To diversify disorganized risk, we selected and combined different stocks, which are negatively correlated with one another(prenominal) into one portfolio. In this way risk are eliminated greatly. See plat below.CAPM Equation The general formula used for Capital Asset set Model is re = rf + (rm rf) where the components are as follows re = evaluate chase away rate of the investment portfolio rf = Risk free rate of return = important (correlation between the shares and the market) rm = judge market return which also means rm rf = Market risk (systemat ic risk) (rm rf) = Risk premium *Beta is oerall risk value for investing in the stock market. The higher(prenominal) the important, the more the risk.CAPM Example Assume there is two Investment portfolio (stocks) or project A & B. With the information given below, we privy use CAPM to ease us decide which to invest on. risk free rate beta anticipate market return A 3% 2.5 10% B 3% 1.2 10%From the beta value above, we know A is a more risky portfolio. A is 2.5 times more risky than the overall market and B is 1.5 times less risky. Expected return receive by A re = rf + (rm rf) re = 3 + 2.5 (10 3) = 20.5 % Expected return produce by B re = rf + (rm rf) = 3 + 1.2 (10 3) = 11.4 %Using CAPM formula, we calculated A produce a 20.5% expected return rate. It is higher than the overall market expected return, which is 10%. Whereas for B, the expected return rate are only 11.2% compare to market return of 10%. Base on result, A is definitely a better just now if you dont feel conformable with As risk or think it might not able to produce the expected return rate, then you would probably can choose investing in B.Criticisms of CAPM Although CAPM seems to be one of the most widely used methods to determine the expected return of a investment portfolio, It still have its limitation. Many had criticized on its unrealistic assumptions. Required a wellspring-diversified portfolioFirstly CAPM works really well with a well-diversified portfolio as it accounted for systematic risk (market risk) but as seen on the graph on page 1, systematic risk is still undiversified. because unsystematic risk is ignore in CAPM calculation. Beta as it briny calculation componentsAs Beta value are computed base on past one year figures so in this case CAPM draw that the future wont change. Also beta may not really reflect the actual performance of different stocks. This was question by professors Eugene Fama and Kenneth French where they looked at share returns on the New York Stock Exchange, the American Stock Exchange and Nasdaq between 1963 and 1990, they found that differences in betas over that elongated period did not explain the performance of different stocks. The linear descent between beta and individual stock returns also breaks down over shorter periods of time. These findings seem to suggest that CAPM may be wrong. Risk free rate of returnCAPM assumes there is a risk free rate where investors can borrow or lend at this rate but it is not true in the real world. Perfect capital market exists in that respect is no transaction cost for trading in the market and earn is non-taxable. All investor are the comparable CAPM assume all investors have the same expectations on the risk and expected return.

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